curi Explanations for the curious en-us Asch Conformity Could Explain the Conjunction Fallacy I also posted this on Less Wrong. This post follows my question Can Social Dynamics Explain Conjunction Fallacy Experimental Results? The results of the question were that no one provided any resear Thu, 06 Aug 2020 14:47:32 +0000 Can Social Dynamics Explain Conjunction Fallacy Experimental Results? I posted this on Less Wrong too. Is there any conjunction fallacy research which addresses the alternative hypothesis that the observed results are mainly due to social dynamics? Most people spend Wed, 05 Aug 2020 01:51:02 +0000 Less Wrong Related Dicussion This topic is for discussing anything related to Less Wrong. I have read Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality and Inadequate Equilibria by Eliezer Yudkowsky. I'm over half way through readi Sun, 02 Aug 2020 13:44:39 +0000 Example of Rejecting TOC Improvements (I also posted this on Less Wrong.) Below I quote from Process of On Going Improvement forum, letter 6. Eli Goldratt shares a letter he received. I added a few notes to help people follow acronyms. M Sun, 02 Aug 2020 12:15:37 +0000 Principles Behind Bottlenecks (I also posted this at Less Wrong.) This post follows my Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization (which has the followups Bottleneck Examples and Comment Replies for Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization) Sat, 01 Aug 2020 15:49:14 +0000 Less Wrong Comment Replies for Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization Read this post, with replies, on Less Wrong. Replies to comments on my Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization: abramdemski and Hypothesis Generation Following the venerated method of multiple worki Fri, 24 Jul 2020 12:00:00 +0000 Bottleneck Examples View discussion of this post at Less Wrong. This post follows my Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization. The goal is to give hypothetical examples of bottlenecks and non-bottlenecks (things with exces Thu, 23 Jul 2020 11:23:59 +0000 Chains, Bottlenecks and Optimization View this post, with discussion, on Less Wrong. Consider an idea consisting of a group of strongly connected sub-ideas. If any sub-idea is an error (doesn’t work), then the whole idea is an error Mon, 20 Jul 2020 19:09:08 +0000 Exploring Gender as a Social Construct This question is directed to people who think gender matters for behavior and mental capabilities. Similar questions could be asked about race and other traits. Suppose that gender is a social constru Sat, 18 Jul 2020 12:55:01 +0000 How are people so stupid? David Horowitz asked on Twitter: How do people like Victoria get so stupid? I wrote a generic reply which has nothing to do with the partisan political statements Victoria said, which I didn't Tue, 07 Jul 2020 13:36:33 +0000 Robin Hanson Apologized For His Ideas They broke Robin Hanson. Hanson chose to be an icon and leader. Giving in is a betrayal of his followers, fans and values. It signals that you can& Fri, 03 Jul 2020 11:29:34 +0000 Gamer MeToo Witch Hunt Gamings Metoo is a Profitable Catastrophe Hundreds of people in gaming industry, e.g. Twitch streamers and pro gamers, have recently faced MeToo type allegations about e.g. sexual assault. There's Fri, 26 Jun 2020 20:56:33 +0000 Cultural Elites, aka The Ruling Class iamok asked on Discord: why is objectivism so small? Oism disagrees with the left on tons of stuff and disagrees with the right on religion, and disagrees with everyone on secondhandedness, panderi Fri, 26 Jun 2020 11:00:05 +0000 Learn from Tutoring Videos I’ve been tutoring people to help them learn philosophy concepts. The videos are free and public. InternetRules is learning about idea trees. We started with basics so anyone can start learning here Thu, 25 Jun 2020 10:56:50 +0000 Developing Rational, Objective Judgment Look for opportunities to use measurements to help your judgment. And also work on developing good judgment (about anything) and developing ways to prevent, detect and correct bias, dishonesty and irra Sun, 21 Jun 2020 11:46:26 +0000 Measurement The main thing that's great about measurement is it's easy to be objective. It deals with facts that we can quantify with numbers. Often we have measuring tools to aid us, e.g. timers, rulers, Sun, 21 Jun 2020 11:39:05 +0000 Non-Measurable Goal Criteria "Get good at rational thinking" is a goal that's hard to measure progress, success or failure at. With a business, you can measure stuff like sales, revenue, profit, widgets produced, nu Sun, 21 Jun 2020 11:19:31 +0000 Measuring Goal Success A good, generic strategy is to come up with some goals, then come up with some measurable criteria to judge success or failure for each goal. This helps you recognize problems, mistakes and inadequate Sun, 21 Jun 2020 11:07:22 +0000 Mises on Harmony of Interests Ludwig von Mises in Liberalism: In the Classical Tradition: Thus, all these modern parties of special interests, no matter how far apart their goals may diverge or how violently they may contend agai Sat, 20 Jun 2020 14:15:02 +0000 Assumptions What constitutes "skipping steps" or "making assumptions" depends on context and perspective. We can't allocate conscious attention to all of reality – reality is too big, com Sat, 20 Jun 2020 11:08:11 +0000 What Is an Impasse? An impasse is a reason (from the speaker’s pov (point of view)) that the discussion isn’t working. Impasses take logical priority over continuing the discussion. It doesn’t make sense to keep ta Wed, 17 Jun 2020 10:14:22 +0000 Learning From Discussion Is Hard It's very hard for people to learn by interacting with other people directly. Two major reasons: Interaction triggers people to behave and interpret socially. They put most of their effort into s Tue, 16 Jun 2020 13:05:46 +0000 Don't Judge People by How They Did in School School success does not imply being smart, wise or knowledgeable. Failing your school classes or hating school does not imply lacking brainpower or lacking learning capacity. Hating school doesn' Mon, 15 Jun 2020 11:43:39 +0000 Projects Aren't Just For Business Project management is important for projects you do alone. Some people maybe think it's just for team projects. But by yourself it's still useful to have some idea of what tasks go into a proje Sat, 13 Jun 2020 10:59:53 +0000 School Doesn't Educate Needing prerequisites for projects doesn't usually mean more school. Schools broadly fail to teach much. They don't work anyway. And they teach a lot of the wrong things. Let's take an ex Fri, 12 Jun 2020 12:23:56 +0000 Thinking Before Discussion Learning to think rationally precedes learning to have rational discussions. Discussion basically uses two skills: thinking and dealing with other people. Language is part of thinking well. It'd Thu, 11 Jun 2020 12:31:42 +0000 Figuring Out Prerequisites How can you figure out prerequisites you need? Look at your project plan. What steps are you planning to do? For each step, consider what skills and resources you need to accomplish it. Don't rely Thu, 11 Jun 2020 10:06:37 +0000 Riots Aren't Popular The protestors/rioters are less popular and mainstream than they think they are. It's partly because, just like most people, they tend to interact with people similar to themselves. But it's Thu, 11 Jun 2020 09:55:18 +0000 Discussions Have Prerequisites As Karl Popper taught us, there's more than one way to approach the truth. This doesn't prevent topics from having prerequisites (you need to learn X before Z – Z builds on X). It sometimes Wed, 10 Jun 2020 11:13:06 +0000 Reform Requires Reason The protestors/rioters broadly seem to assume if they demand stuff vigorously enough then it'll happen. What's the premise? That people are just being bad on purpose. That they could do better Tue, 09 Jun 2020 13:51:55 +0000 We Can't Outlaw the Mainstream Suppose hypothetically that approximately all parents are child abusers. And you're a political leader. You can't just arrest the all the child abusers or take all their kids away because who i Tue, 09 Jun 2020 13:04:24 +0000 Discussions Need Goals To have a productive discussion, you need a goal. What outcomes would qualify as success? If you don't know what you're aiming for, achieving success is unrealistic. And you ought to have some Tue, 09 Jun 2020 11:38:59 +0000 Godless Protestors/Rioters One of the many issues with the protest/riot leaders, and many of the followers, is that they don't believe in God. They don't believe in a higher power, truth or law above themselves (some sor Tue, 09 Jun 2020 11:34:39 +0000 Ignorant Protestors Most of the protestors/rioters are ignorant dupes being lied to by people and groups like CNN, Soros, AOC, NYT, and their teachers and professors. The people who run BLM are racist, Marxist liars who a Tue, 09 Jun 2020 11:27:29 +0000 Black Lives Matter Is Evil Black Lives Matter is a racist, Marxist group. I oppose and condemn them. Read about them. Mon, 08 Jun 2020 22:24:02 +0000 Difficulty Self-Evaluating Means Overreaching If you can't self-evaluate what you're doing, it's too hard and you're overreaching. You're lost, confused, and making tons of errors with no effective way to recognize them. Stop a Mon, 08 Jun 2020 15:11:20 +0000 Sharing Discussion Methods Suppose you try to have a discussion with someone and you use one method (one approch to how to discuss – what to say, when, how to organize it, etc.) and he uses a different method. What happens? C Mon, 08 Jun 2020 11:17:46 +0000 Discussion Methodologies To have a productive discussion, you need a method of discussing. What is step 1 in a discussion? What is step 2? What is step 3? If you don't know, or don't have it in writing, why would you Sun, 07 Jun 2020 10:58:02 +0000 Project Planning Discussion This is a discussion about rational project planning. The major theme is that people should consider what their project premises are. What claims are they betting their project success on the correctne Mon, 25 May 2020 17:46:00 +0000 Where Can I Start Confidently? John: So I must act. Don’t let life pass me by. And you only want me to act on things where I have conclusive knowledge and major, rational confidence. Where I (fallibly but substantively) know what Sun, 10 May 2020 10:22:52 +0000